How Will AI Impact Jobs?

Today, AI is advancing so fast that it beats people in many tasks. Concerns are raised whether AI will take our jobs in the future. In this paper, I reviewed recent AI progress and potential. Then I discuss AI’s impact on employment, including employment rate, wages, employment structure, and the nature of work. My opinion is AI will definitely cause technological unemployment, but not all jobs at risk will actually be substituted. Besides, AI will raise the wages of people who complement AI but reduce overall average wages, increasing inequality. Middle-class employment will decline, pushing workers down the occupational ladder or even out of work. In addition, AI will change the nature of work as well as the workers’ skills as more and more cognitive efforts are offloaded onto AI-related technologies.[……]

继续阅读

From Technological Determinism to the Future Growth

I once was a technological optimist and technological determinist. Until recently, I discovered many interesting opinions. This paper is my reflection on the readings so far. First, I discuss the disadvantage of determinism. Then, I use a taxi example to demonstrate why policymakers tend to be technologically deterministic. After that, I show a physicist’s view that sociology is so complex that it can’t be determined by only one factor. Then I discuss the politics in technology and predict that technologies will continue to promote economic growth but at a slower pace.[……]

继续阅读

Dark Echo: A discussion about Affordance

I will use an iPad game called Dark Echo to exemplify the affordances and constraints in design principles. Dark Echo is one of the most amazing puzzle games I encountered for years. Basically, it’s a two-dimensional escape game. It orchestrates both simplicity and complexity, demonstrating many design principles explicitly.[……]

继续阅读

Interview with John Markoff : A prophet in the age of AI (1)

I’m proud to present this special interview with Markoff, the world renowned technological reporter, Pulitzer-Prize-winning New York Times science writer, author of Machines of Loving Grace, and the conversation focuses on the trends of IT industry and technologies. [……]

继续阅读